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When observing a society for futures purposes or literary analysis, I have always appreciated seeing what goes on along the extreme margins. This activity can shed light on issues that more popular or mainstream cultural product...
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Today I published the April 2020 Future Trends in Technology and Education report to all subscribers. I’d also like to share an open, free edition with you all. To recognize that not all readers can afford to subscribe to FTTE, ...
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I presented these short scenarios to an online event in March, and would like to share them here. They are based on two different models for how the COVID-19 pandemic could play out over the next year, drawing on my virus scenario...
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For weeks I’ve been posting about dread, decline, and death. I know that’s hard and heavy. So I wanted to cheer you all up. Here’s a story about goats. Many goats, stomping into a Welsh town: [embedded content] This may ...
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How might the COVID-19 pandemic ultimately impact higher education? In 2013 I introduced the peak higher education scenario. I’ve developed it further since. Alas, American higher education has generally fulfilled that forecas...
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As I write this COVID-19 continues to gnaw on the human race. Data is increasingly dubious for a range of reasons (politics, testing, etc.) but the range looks like between 630,000 and 720,000 infected and around 30,000 dead, wi...
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As higher education continues to grapple with COVID-19 I’ve been talking with various kind interviewers. It’s a good way for me to think through my analyses. Here are two. First, Howard Teibel and a colleague talked with me ...
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For nearly two months I’ve been tracking the coronavirus outbreak. I’ve been sharing forecasts, examining analyses, and collecting forecasts here, on Twitter, on LinkedIn, and Facebook. Now I’d like to share some scenari...
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As a futurist I spend most of my time looking ahead to understand what might happen next. Sometimes this means drawing on my background as a literature and book person, hunting literary sources that help illuminate the future. â...
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Someone soon may call this The Blue Plague. Why? The largest urban clusters of coronavirus infections and deaths are, as of this writing, New York City, Seattle, and the Bay Area. Coming up in a second tier are Detroit and Chi...