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Two pandemic scenarios for March 2021

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I presented these short scenarios to an online event in March, and would like to share them here. They are based on two different models for how the COVID-19 pandemic could play out over the next year, drawing on my virus scenario...

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COVID-19 in 2020: several scenarios

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For nearly two months I’ve been tracking the coronavirus outbreak.  I’ve been sharing forecasts, examining analyses, and collecting forecasts here, on Twitter, on LinkedIn, and Facebook.  Now I’d like to share some scenari...

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